Is Wall Street Moving As It Did In 1965 ?

Wall-Street

Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James, thinks that the S&P 500 index is going to lose some 10-12% very soon, exactly as he did in 1965, but beware: if he’s right the “real” correction will come later than we expect

http://www.ilribelle.com/storage/immagini-articoli/economia/Wall-Street.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1384328839991

There’s an interesting note coming out this week on Raymond James website, and it’s signed by its chief investment strategist, Jeffrey Saut:

“Just like our fundamental analysts are making a negative ‘call’ on the PC computer business that fell off a cliff in May/June, I am making a ‘call’ that the current set-up in the equity market is remarkably similar to the summer of 2011 that ushered in an 18% decline. While I do not think any pullback from here will be that severe, I do think we are vulnerable to a 10%-12% decline in the weeks ahead, albeit within the construct of a secular bull market that has years left to run.”

But what’s really interesting is the comparison between S&P 500 in 2014 and S&P 500 in 1965:
http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/53bbe504ecad046b6ee57a54-800-528/raja%20chart%20july%207.jpg
If this is true, we may see a severe correction this Summer, but then we should go back to all-time highs for a while.
What’s really scary is what happened in 1966 (2015 ?), with a huge stock collapse.
Since we expect Janet Yellen to act on interest rates by June 2015, this kinda makes sense.

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