Euro Area

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Euro Area: Gloomy Sentiment Threatens Recovery Hopes

Our main engine (Germany) is losing power, how much can Euro Area possibly grow in 2015-2016 ? Maybe official expectations are still too positive (as they were in 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008,…


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Lessons From 15 Years Of Japanese Deflation

European governments are lucky, they have a good example of what happens when an economy enters a deflation “moment” (can we call 15 years a “moment” ?) after a heavy economic crisis, why isn’t anyone…


European Central Bank (ECB) President Draghi attends a news conference during a European Union Finance Ministers informal meeting in Athens

Eurozone: Long-Term Inflation Is Going To Be A Serious Problem

When inflation expectations keep on moving lower, you cannot simply expect an economy to easily get better: long-term inflation should really worry everybody (original publishing date: 08/27/14) Try to forget, for a short moment, that…


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The Miserable European Construction Sector

Recovery for the EU is just not happening: just a quick glance at the latest data on the construction sector would be really, really depressing for anyone What Brussels needs to understand is that whatever…


Matteo Renzi press conference, Rome

Italy Is Entering Deflation (Mamma Mia !)

With an annual inflation equal to 0,1%, the doors to deflation for Italy are now wide open, the Japanization of European economy is now closer Based on our calculation, we expected Italy to enter deflation…




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A Bond Bubble in Peripheral Europe ?

As Raoul Ruparel states from Forbes, the bond market in peripheral Europe is acting in a completely disconnected way compared to the trend of real economy, how big is this problem going to be for…



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Euro Area unemployment: where is the recovery ?

As bond yields hit record lows, unemployment throughout Euro Area is still a dramatic issue to solve: are we sure that Bruxells knows how to deal with the problem ? No, we aren’t. As ZeroHedge…