US: Credit Growth Is Back (Bubble Or Not Bubble ?)

major-us-banks-set-up-war-rooms-to-prepare-for-government-default

There’s no recovery without credit, and this seems to be a fairly good point for every economy, especially for the american one: but are we seeing rational expansion or are we back in the bubble territory ?

http://static3.businessinsider.com/image/528b40d9eab8ea724a1544b1/major-us-banks-set-up-war-rooms-to-prepare-for-government-default.jpg

The big news for the credit market in the US is that growth is finally back:

COTD June 27

Now, the rate of growth had a sudden trend reversal that may make you go “hmm…”

Don’t be afraid to say it: you fear that the credit bubble is back.

The answer is: not yet.

During the bubble-years (from 2004 to 2008) we saw an unsustainable trend of growth (above the annual rate of 10%):

http://www.economicsjunkie.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/total-credit-annual-growth-september-20091.png

So we’re still pretty far from that, but we’ll keep an eye on it since, sooner or later, the bubble will be back.

 

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